← Markets
Trump approval rating on September 25?

Trump approval rating on September 25?

Resolves Sep 25, 2026·$421 24h vol·politics
$421 total volume

38.0–38.4

30%-23.5%
OutcomeYesNo
38.0–38.4
38.5–38.9
39.0–39.4
37.5–37.9
<37.5
39.5+

Order Book

38.0–38.4

PriceSharesTotal
45.0¢20$9
44.0¢20$9
43.0¢105$45
40.0¢26$10
39.0¢5$2
38.0¢26$10
37.0¢66$24
33.0¢95$31
no trades yet
6.0¢ spread
27.0¢175$47
20.0¢125$25
5.0¢5$0
4.0¢168$7
3.0¢100$3
2.0¢300$6
1.0¢14$0
$88 bids$141 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

38.0–38.4

30%