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Trump declares a national emergency by...?

Trump declares a national emergency by...?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$648 24h vol·politics
$1.1k total volume·Open for 3 days

December 31

37%-13.5%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31
November 30

Order Book

December 31

PriceSharesTotal
95.0¢12$11
94.0¢5$5
65.0¢57$37
64.0¢17$11
54.0¢19$10
48.0¢217$104
47.0¢5$2
46.0¢6$3
42.0¢last trade
18.0¢ spread
28.0¢91$26
27.0¢250$68
25.0¢60$15
13.0¢198$26
9.0¢5$0
8.0¢124$10
7.0¢120$8
6.0¢5$0
$153 bids$184 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency pursuant to the National Emergencies Act between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, announcements of an intention to declare a national emergency, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that do not declare a national emergency will not qualify. Renewals, continuations, or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify. Amendments to or expansions of previously existing national emergencies will also not qualify unless they formally declare a new national emergency. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

December 31

38%