U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
New here?
Understand this market
This market asks whether the U.S. government will formally declare Maria Corina Machado — Venezuela's most prominent opposition figure — to be the rightful leader of Venezuela before the end of 2026. A Yes means Washington makes an official, unambiguous statement recognizing her as head of state or president. A No means that never happens, whether because the U.S. recognizes someone else, stays silent, or only expresses support without a formal declaration.
Order Book
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Read the full market guide →Related Markets
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
7%