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What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026·$635 24h vol·economy
$17.7k total volume·Open for 10 days

$419K - $426K

48%-1.6%
OutcomeYesNo
$419K - $426K
<$419K
$426K - $433K
$433K - $440K
$440K - $447K
$447K - $454K
$454K+

Order Book

$419K - $426K

PriceSharesTotal
59.6¢45$27
58.9¢125$74
58.8¢45$26
55.9¢10$6
54.9¢10$5
54.8¢30$16
52.0¢104$54
50.0¢981$490
49.9¢53$26
49.5¢100$50
49.9¢last trade
2.1¢ spread
47.4¢50$24
46.9¢50$23
46.5¢68$32
44.0¢48$21
43.9¢10$4
39.1¢10$4
39.0¢70$27
29.0¢19$5
22.1¢16$4
19.6¢450$88
$233 bids$775 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)

$419K - $426K

48%