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When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

Resolves Nov 1, 2026·$539 24h vol·tech
$539 total volume

No release by November 1

36%-3.0%
OutcomeYesNo
No release by November 1
September 7–September 13
September 21–September 27
October 12–October 18
October 19–October 25
October 26–November 1
August 31–September 6
September 14–September 20
October 5–October 11
Prior to August 31

Order Book

No release by November 1

PriceSharesTotal
87.0¢8$7
86.0¢50$43
81.0¢45$36
77.0¢12$9
75.0¢10$8
74.0¢40$30
60.0¢5$3
37.0¢75$28
no trades yet
2.0¢ spread
35.0¢15$5
33.0¢75$25
4.0¢8$0
1.0¢574$6
$36 bids$163 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

No release by November 1

36%