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Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026·$206 24h vol·tech
$206 total volume

Anthropic

53%-0.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Anthropic
OpenAI
Moonshot
Alibaba
Baidu
Z.ai
Google
MiniMax
Meta
Xiaomi

Order Book

Anthropic

PriceSharesTotal
95.0¢100$95
94.0¢10$9
90.0¢50$45
89.0¢50$45
88.0¢6$5
85.0¢6$5
84.0¢75$63
83.0¢23$19
no trades yet
60.0¢ spread
23.0¢32$7
22.0¢10$2
20.0¢1.1k$220
11.0¢100$11
10.0¢600$60
2.0¢1.1k$22
1.0¢20$0
$323 bids$287 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Anthropic

54%