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Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

Resolves Oct 1, 2026·$24.6k 24h vol·tech
$174.5k total volume·Open for 45 days

Anthropic

52%-23.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Anthropic
OpenAI
Google
Moonshot
Z.ai
SpaceXAI
Amazon
Alibaba
Microsoft
Meta

Order Book

Anthropic

PriceSharesTotal
77.0¢30$23
76.0¢170$129
75.0¢50$38
73.0¢160$117
72.0¢113$81
71.0¢255$181
70.0¢86$60
68.0¢175$119
67.0¢last trade
32.0¢ spread
36.0¢178$64
35.0¢125$44
30.0¢6$2
26.0¢16$4
21.0¢40$8
20.0¢100$20
3.0¢92$3
2.0¢20$0
$145 bids$748 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Anthropic

52%