Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$6.8k 24h vol·geopolitics
$245.8k total volume·Open for 41 days
Lebanon
27%+8.5%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
-1.0%
$2.3k
-1.5%
$1.0k
-3.0%
$82
—
—
-2.0%
$154
-0.5%
—
-1.0%
$15
-0.5%
—
—
—
-0.5%
$50
Order Book
Lebanon
PriceSharesTotal
46.0¢40$18
45.0¢100$45
40.0¢700$280
37.0¢50$19
35.0¢22$8
34.0¢318$108
30.0¢6.3k$1.9k
29.0¢50$14
28.0¢41$11
27.0¢10$3
—
1.0¢ spread26.0¢5$1
25.0¢104$26
24.0¢183$44
23.0¢420$97
22.0¢651$143
21.0¢795$167
19.0¢123$23
18.0¢1.3k$235
17.0¢341$58
16.0¢557$89
$884 bids$2.4k asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related Markets
Lebanon
26%