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Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

Resolves Dec 31, 2027·$63 24h vol·politics
$9.3k total volume·Open for 45 days

Andy Beshear

28%+3.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Andy Beshear
Gavin Newsom
Kamala Harris
Pete Buttigieg
Rahm Emanuel
Ro Khanna
Stephen A. Smith
Josh Shapiro
Jon Ossoff
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Order Book

Andy Beshear

PriceSharesTotal
74.0¢505$374
60.0¢50$30
59.0¢29$17
43.0¢134$58
32.0¢78$25
31.0¢20$6
30.0¢375$113
29.0¢947$275
28.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
28.0¢841$235
27.0¢296$80
26.0¢292$76
25.0¢20$5
18.0¢67$12
17.0¢38$6
16.0¢5$1
15.0¢35$5
$421 bids$897 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Andy Beshear

28%