Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$41.1k 24h vol·geopolitics
$673.6k total volume·Open for 89 days
Ursula von der Leyen
62%+13.0%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
-5.5%
$41.0k
+11.5%
—
—
$87
+2.0%
—
-1.5%
—
+2.5%
—
+0.7%
—
+1.7%
$61
Order Book
Ursula von der Leyen
PriceSharesTotal
92.0¢25.0k$23.0k
91.0¢2.1k$1.9k
87.0¢194$169
86.0¢62$54
85.0¢10$9
73.0¢30$22
65.0¢20$13
64.0¢40$26
61.0¢last trade
5.0¢ spread59.0¢93$55
58.0¢44$26
54.0¢5$3
42.0¢12$5
22.0¢10$2
21.0¢58$12
20.0¢80$16
16.0¢500$80
$198 bids$25.2k asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Ursula von der Leyen
61%