Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$57 24h vol·geopolitics
$405.4k total volume·Open for 46 days
Donald Tusk
87%+13.5%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
+22.0%
—
+3.5%
$21
+16.5%
—
—
$3.7k
-3.0%
—
+7.0%
—
-4.5%
$4
+6.8%
—
+0.3%
$13
Order Book
Donald Tusk
PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢20$19
98.0¢157$154
97.0¢8$7
94.0¢200$188
93.0¢7$7
91.0¢275$250
90.0¢151$136
89.0¢127$113
89.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread87.0¢20$17
84.0¢33$27
83.0¢20$17
81.0¢50$41
67.0¢10$7
66.0¢20$13
55.0¢0$0
42.0¢40$17
$139 bids$874 asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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