Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
Resolves Nov 4, 2026·$20.7k 24h vol·politics
$20.4k total volume
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
59%-1.9%
OutcomeYesNo24h Vol
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$5.5k
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$6.2k
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$4.6k
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$4.4k
Order Book
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
PriceSharesTotal
59.8¢800$478
59.6¢3.4k$2.0k
59.4¢1.8k$1.0k
59.3¢4.5k$2.7k
59.1¢4.7k$2.8k
59.0¢1.4k$847
58.8¢780$459
58.7¢200$117
58.3¢last trade
0.4¢ spread58.3¢758$442
58.1¢2.7k$1.6k
58.0¢1.0k$580
57.2¢3.7k$2.1k
57.1¢5.6k$3.2k
57.0¢19.5k$11.1k
56.8¢3.5k$2.0k
56.5¢2.4k$1.3k
$22.3k bids$10.4k asks
Resolution Criteria
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf
Related Markets
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
59%