← Markets
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Resolves Apr 1, 2027·$366 24h vol·politics
$45.7k total volume·Open for 103 days

March 31

9%-2.0%
OutcomeYesNo
March 31
December 31

Order Book

March 31

PriceSharesTotal
24.0¢100$24
23.0¢20$5
22.0¢20$4
17.0¢3.0k$510
14.0¢80$11
12.0¢922$111
11.0¢429$47
10.0¢131$13
6.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
8.0¢80$6
7.0¢329$23
6.0¢1.5k$88
5.0¢150$8
4.0¢10$0
3.0¢7.3k$220
2.0¢3.6k$72
1.0¢5.7k$57
$474 bids$725 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

March 31

9%