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Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Resolves Apr 1, 2027·$278 24h vol·politics
$15.3k total volume·Open for 60 days

March 31

10%+1.0%
OutcomeYesNo
March 31
December 31

Order Book

March 31

PriceSharesTotal
61.0¢20$12
60.0¢5$3
59.0¢10$6
50.0¢50$25
19.0¢24$5
12.0¢50$6
11.0¢294$32
10.0¢328$33
8.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
9.0¢438$39
8.0¢250$20
7.0¢783$55
5.0¢508$25
4.0¢250$10
3.0¢427$13
2.0¢933$19
1.0¢2.4k$24
$205 bids$122 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

March 31

10%