Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$373 24h vol·politics
$14.2M total volume·Open for 395 days
December 31
3%-0.5%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
-0.1%
$373
Order Book
December 31
PriceSharesTotal
4.9¢2.0k$98
4.4¢2.3k$102
4.2¢2.7k$112
4.1¢209$9
3.7¢192$7
3.6¢8.2k$295
3.5¢188$7
3.4¢47$2
2.2¢last trade
1.1¢ spread2.3¢141$3
2.2¢409$9
2.1¢2.7k$56
2.0¢4.3k$86
1.9¢3.8k$72
1.8¢10.9k$197
1.7¢5.9k$100
1.6¢220$4
$527 bids$631 asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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