← Markets
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$60 24h vol·politics
18 comments·$165.0k total volume·Open for 198 days

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

7%-4.4%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Order Book

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

PriceSharesTotal
12.9¢65$8
8.4¢238$20
8.3¢40$3
8.1¢317$26
7.9¢616$49
7.8¢55$4
7.7¢41$3
7.6¢124$9
7.5¢190$14
7.4¢102$8
7.0¢last trade
0.4¢ spread
7.0¢4.0k$283
6.9¢346$24
6.7¢41$3
6.6¢20$1
6.3¢500$32
6.1¢99$6
6.0¢520$31
5.0¢172$9
4.9¢172$8
4.7¢443$21
$418 bids$145 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

7%