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Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$223 24h vol·politics
$183.3k total volume·Open for 302 days

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

5%-4.1%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Order Book

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

PriceSharesTotal
6.6¢232$15
6.5¢822$53
6.3¢48$3
6.2¢487$30
5.9¢20$1
5.8¢20$1
5.6¢520$29
5.5¢95$5
4.5¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
4.5¢40$2
3.6¢213$8
3.5¢318$11
3.4¢141$5
3.3¢252$8
3.2¢545$17
3.1¢214$7
3.0¢26$1
$59 bids$139 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

5%