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Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

Resolves Nov 12, 2026·$519 24h vol·economy
$9.0k total volume·Open for 9 days

280M

66%+17.0%
OutcomeYesNo
280M
270M
260M
250M
240M

Order Book

280M

PriceSharesTotal
97.0¢66$64
96.0¢25$24
95.0¢13$12
88.0¢500$440
86.0¢100$86
85.0¢5$4
70.0¢40$28
69.0¢9$6
69.0¢last trade
7.0¢ spread
62.0¢20$12
61.0¢5$3
59.0¢7$4
54.0¢240$130
53.0¢34$18
51.0¢200$102
19.0¢7$1
18.0¢30$5
$276 bids$665 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value after market creation for any week ending on or before October 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before October 30, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on October 30, 2026, by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.

280M

66%