Bitcoin price on August 6?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks a simple question: where will the Bitcoin price land on August 6, 2026, and which price range will it fall into? Participants pick a price bracket, like $62,000-$64,000, and the goal is to correctly identify which bracket contains the actual Bitcoin price at that moment. A 'Yes' for a given bracket means Bitcoin lands inside it. A 'No' means it lands somewhere else. Right now, the crowd leans toward the $62,000-$64,000 range at 37%, but other nearby brackets are close behind. The market settles using one specific data point: the closing price of Bitcoin against the US dollar on Binance, at exactly noon Eastern Time on August 6, 2026, read from a one-minute price candle. Only Binance counts here, not Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. Whichever price bracket contains that exact closing price wins. If the price falls exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket wins. The date is still roughly a year away, so resolution is a long way off. None of the provided recent news headlines relate directly to Bitcoin or cryptocurrency markets. They cover oil prices, the Indian rupee, Australian property, and similar topics. There is no relevant crypto news to point to here. The kind of developments that would genuinely matter for this market include major regulatory decisions, large institutional moves into or out of Bitcoin, or significant macroeconomic shifts like interest rate changes. Bitcoin is genuinely hard to predict over a year-long horizon, and that is the core challenge here. The price could move sharply in any direction due to regulatory news, macroeconomic shifts, exchange-level events, or broad market sentiment swings. The current odds spread across three close brackets shows real disagreement, not a clear consensus. Even if participants form a reasonable view today, a lot can change before August 6, 2026. The one-year timeline makes this a particularly wide-open question with many unknown variables still ahead.

The odds right now

• 62,000-64,00037%
• 64,000-66,00026%
• 60,000-62,00021%
• 66,000-68,0007%
• 58,000-60,0006%
• 68,000-70,0002%
• <56,0001%
• 72,000-74,0001%
• 56,000-58,0001%
• 70,000-72,0001%
• >74,0001%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 6, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.