Bitcoin price on August 8?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what price range will Bitcoin land in at exactly noon Eastern Time on August 8, 2026? The market has split the possible outcomes into price brackets, and you pick the one you think Bitcoin will fall into. Right now, the crowd leans toward the $62,000-$64,000 range at 32%, with $64,000-$66,000 close behind at 26%, and $60,000-$62,000 getting 19% of the weight. The remaining probability is spread across other ranges not shown here. Settlement is based on one very specific data point: the closing price of the one-minute BTC/USDT candle at exactly noon Eastern Time on August 8, 2026, as recorded on the Binance exchange. No other exchange counts, and no other time of day counts. If Bitcoin's price falls exactly on the border between two brackets, it resolves to the higher bracket. If Binance data is unavailable for that moment, the market resolves No, meaning no bracket wins. None of the provided news headlines relate to Bitcoin or cryptocurrency markets. There is nothing relevant to point to from the recent news given here. The kinds of developments that would matter for this market include major regulatory announcements, large institutional moves into or out of Bitcoin, or significant macroeconomic news affecting risk assets broadly. Predicting a specific price range for Bitcoin more than a year from now is genuinely very hard. Bitcoin is historically one of the most volatile assets in the world, capable of moving tens of thousands of dollars in either direction over months. Macroeconomic shifts, regulatory decisions, market sentiment, and events that nobody can foresee today could all move the price significantly. The spread across multiple brackets reflects real disagreement, and any of the visible ranges, or ones not even shown, could end up correct.

The odds right now

• 62,000-64,00035%
• 64,000-66,00030%
• 60,000-62,00020%
• 66,000-68,00011%
• 58,000-60,0006%
• 68,000-70,0003%
• 56,000-58,0002%
• 70,000-72,0002%
• 54,000-56,0002%
• >72,0002%
• <54,0001%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 8, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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