Ethereum above ___ on July 28?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking where the price of Ethereum (ETH) will be on a single specific moment: noon Eastern Time on July 28, 2026. There are three separate price targets, each its own market: $1,600, $1,700, and $1,800. A Yes means ETH is trading above that number at that exact moment. A No means it is at or below it. Think of it like a snapshot, not an average over a day. Settlement depends on one data point only: the closing price of the ETH/USDT one-minute candle at exactly 12:00 noon Eastern Time on July 28, 2026, as recorded on the Binance exchange. If that single number is strictly higher than the target price, it resolves Yes. At or below means No. Prices from other exchanges like Coinbase or Kraken do not count, even if they show a different number at the same moment. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching would be broad crypto market moves, major Ethereum network upgrades, regulatory announcements in large markets, or significant shifts in overall investor risk appetite, any of which could meaningfully push ETH's price in either direction over the next year. Over a year is a very long time in crypto. The market currently prices the $1,600 target at 99% and $1,800 at 82%, reflecting that ETH already trades well above these levels today. The main uncertainty at the lower thresholds is simply whether something dramatic and unexpected happens: a major market crash, exchange failure, or regulatory shock. The $1,800 level carries more genuine uncertainty because it sits closer to a range where past volatility has actually pulled ETH.

The odds right now

• 1,40099%
• 1,50099%
• 1,60099%
• 1,70098%
• 1,80084%
• 1,90030%
• 2,0003%
• 2,1001%
• 2,2000%
• 2,3000%
• 2,4000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.