Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks a simple question: will Florentino Perez stop being the president of Real Madrid football club at any point before the end of 2026? A Yes means he leaves the role, for any reason, whether he resigns, is removed, or steps down temporarily. A No means he stays in the president's chair through December 31, 2026. The market settles Yes the moment Perez leaves the presidency, or even announces he will leave, before December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM Eastern Time. One important detail: an announcement alone is enough to trigger Yes, even if the actual departure happens later. If he is still president at the deadline, it resolves No. The source of truth is official Real Madrid communications or a clear consensus among credible journalists. None of the recent news provided relates to Florentino Perez or Real Madrid. The headlines cover unrelated topics like state visits and infrastructure deals. There is nothing in the supplied news to update the picture here. The kind of development that would matter is any report of internal club conflict, a health issue, an election at Real Madrid, or a public disagreement between Perez and the club's board. The market is priced at roughly 8%, meaning it strongly leans toward Perez staying. The main uncertainty at that price is simply whether something unexpected and rare occurs. Perez has been president for most of the past two decades and has shown no public signs of stepping down. The honest question is not really whether two sides are balanced, but whether a low-probability surprise, such as a health event, a major scandal, or a sudden personal decision, could occur before the deadline.

The odds right now

• Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?+3.5 pts (1w)8%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves January 1, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Florentino Perez ceases to be the President of Real Madrid for any length of time by December 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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