GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: at the end of 2026, how much will it cost to rent one Nvidia H100 GPU for one hour? The H100 is one of the most powerful AI-focused chips available, and cloud companies rent them out by the hour to businesses training AI models. The price brackets shown, like $2.00 to $3.50 per hour, represent where participants think that hourly rental rate will land on December 31, 2026. A higher bracket winning means AI computing stayed expensive; a lower bracket means prices fell. The market settles based on one specific number: the Ornn H100 Index price recorded on December 31, 2026, as published on the Ornnai.com dashboard. That index tracks H100 rental rates. Whoever runs the market reads the chart on that date and matches it to a price bracket. One edge case worth knowing: if the price lands exactly on a bracket boundary, the rules say it resolves to the higher bracket, not the lower one. If the data is delayed, the market uses whatever is available within seven days after the deadline. None of the news provided is relevant to H100 GPU pricing or the AI computing market. There is nothing here to point to. The kinds of developments that would actually matter to watch for include announcements from major chip makers about supply, new AI model releases that increase demand, or large cloud providers changing their pricing publicly. Three forces pull in different directions and nobody knows which wins. More GPU supply from new chips like Nvidia's Blackwell could push H100 prices down. But growing demand from AI companies could keep prices high, or even push them up. The market itself is spread fairly evenly across three different brackets, which reflects genuine disagreement, not a clear consensus. On top of that, the Ornn Index is a specific data source that most people are unfamiliar with, so there is also some uncertainty about exactly what it measures and how it moves.

The odds right now

• $3.00-$3.50+13.5 pts (1w)31%
• $2.00-$2.50-1.4 pts (1w)28%
• $2.50-$3.00-6.0 pts (1w)17%
• $1.50-$2.00-0.3 pts (1w)9%
• $3.50-$4.00-3.3 pts (1w)7%
• $4.00++0.9 pts (1w)7%
• <$1.50-5.1 pts (1w)2%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.