Highest temperature in Busan on July 22?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 22, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Busan, South Korea? The answer is split into temperature buckets, and the correct bucket wins. July 22 falls in the middle of Busan's humid summer, when daily highs commonly sit in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, which is roughly 90 to 95 degrees Fahrenheit. The market is not asking about an average, just the single peak reading of that one day. The market settles based on the highest temperature reading recorded at Gimhae International Airport on July 22, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website for that station. The number is rounded to a whole degree Celsius, so a reading of 32.9°C counts as 32°C, not 33°C. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 23 appears on that page. Any corrections published before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No recent news relevant to this market was provided. For a weather market set more than a year away, the news that would matter most is seasonal forecasting closer to the date, any climate anomaly alerts for the Korean Peninsula in summer 2026, or unusual patterns in the East Asian monsoon season, which typically affects Busan in July. Weather a full year out is genuinely difficult to predict. Busan in late July is reliably hot and humid, so the question is not whether it will be warm, but exactly where the peak lands on one specific day. A single passing cloud, a sea breeze off the Korea Strait, or an unusually strong heat dome can shift the reading by a degree or two. That one-degree difference is exactly what separates the answer buckets here, which makes this a close call even for professional meteorologists.

The odds right now

• 33°C55%
• 32°C28%
• 34°C12%
• 31°C4%
• 35°C2%
• 30°C1%
• 29°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C or higher0%
• 27°C or below0%
• 28°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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