Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 22?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 22, 2026, what will the single hottest temperature of the day be in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia? You are picking which number on the thermometer the city will peak at, measured at the King Abdulaziz International Airport weather station. Jeddah in late July is one of the hottest places on Earth, regularly hitting the high 30s Celsius, which is roughly 98 to 104 degrees Fahrenheit. The three options on the table are 37°C, 38°C, or 39°C. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading logged at King Abdulaziz International Airport on July 22, 2026, pulled from the weather history site Weather Underground. The temperature is rounded to a whole number, so 38.7°C would count as 38°C, not 39°C. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 23 appears on that site. Any corrections Weather Underground makes before that cutoff count, but corrections made after do not. No recent news was provided for this market. For a weather question like this, what would actually matter closer to the date is local forecast data, any unusual regional heat patterns, or climate anomaly reports for the Arabian Peninsula in summer 2026. Those are worth watching as the date approaches. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and July 22, 2026 is still well in the future. The three options are spread across just three degrees, and the market spreads probability fairly evenly across them, with 38°C leading at 36%, 37°C close behind at 32%, and 39°C at 18%. A shift in humidity, a sea breeze off the Red Sea, or a regional heat dome could nudge the peak reading in any direction. One degree is a very small margin, which makes precise prediction very difficult.

The odds right now

• 37°C34%
• 38°C33%
• 39°C18%
• 36°C14%
• 40°C4%
• 35°C3%
• 41°C or higher2%
• 34°C1%
• 33°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 31°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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