Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 22?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 22, 2026, what will the hottest reading of the day be at Kuala Lumpur's main airport? The three options are 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C, and you are picking which single degree the peak temperature lands on. Kuala Lumpur sits near the equator and is hot year-round, typically hitting highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, so the question is really about which narrow band within that familiar range the thermometer tops out at on that specific day. After July 22, 2026 ends, the market checks the Weather Underground historical page for Kuala Lumpur International Airport (station code WMKK) and reads the single highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to a whole number in Celsius. Whichever option contains that number wins. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point for July 23 appears on that page before it settles, giving time for any late corrections to the July 22 readings to come through. After that cutoff, no further revisions count. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of update that would matter here is a seasonal forecast or a notable weather pattern, such as an unusually strong monsoon surge or a heat advisory, affecting the Kuala Lumpur region around late July 2026. Without that, the main reference point is Kuala Lumpur's typical July climate. Even for a city with very consistent tropical weather, pinning down a single degree is genuinely difficult. Kuala Lumpur's July highs cluster tightly around 31 to 33°C, which is exactly why all three options carry real probability. A passing cloud, an afternoon thunderstorm arriving an hour earlier or later, or a shift in wind direction can easily move the peak reading by one degree. The market is split fairly evenly between 31°C and 32°C, reflecting that this is a close call even for experienced weather forecasters working with historical patterns.

The odds right now

• 30°C36%
• 31°C28%
• 29°C15%
• 32°C14%
• 33°C8%
• 28°C4%
• 34°C1%
• 35°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%
• 26°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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