Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Aug 3 at ___?: how this market works
What you need to know
This market is asking where Palantir's stock price will land at the close of trading on Friday, August 7, 2026. The brackets are the price ranges to choose from: above $132, between $116 and $118, or below $114. Right now, the vast majority of participants expect the stock to be trading well above $132 by that date, which would be a high price relative to the lower brackets on offer. The market settles based on Palantir's official closing price on Friday, August 7, 2026, taken from a data service called Pyth, which records the price at the very last minute of the regular trading session. If that day is a shortened trading day due to a holiday, the last minute of that shorter session is used instead. If Pyth has no data at all, the exchange's own published closing price steps in as the backup. If a stock split happens before then, all price targets adjust automatically to match. No specific recent news was matched to this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for include Palantir earnings reports, major government or defense contract announcements, and broader moves in the technology sector, since all of these have historically caused significant swings in the stock price. The market is heavily skewed: the above-$132 bracket is priced at 92%, meaning participants collectively see the lower brackets as unlikely. The main honest uncertainty here is not a close call between sides, but rather whether something unexpected, like a market downturn, a disappointing earnings report, or a large contract loss, could push the stock down sharply from its current implied level. With over a year until the deadline, there is a long runway for surprises in either direction.
The odds right now
- >$13298%
- $124-$1261%
- $114-$1161%
- $116-$1181%
- <$1141%
- $118-$1201%
- $122-$1241%
- $120-$1221%
- $130-$1321%
- $126-$1280%
- $128-$1300%
Price history
>$132
How this resolves
Resolves August 7, 2026
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.
Related
Other outcomes in this market
- >$13298%
- $124-$1261%
- $114-$1161%
- $116-$1181%
- <$1141%
- $118-$1201%
- $122-$1241%
- $120-$1221%
- See all 11 outcomes →
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