← Markets

Solana above ___ on July 28?: how this market works

100%cryptoUpdated 2 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Solana's price will be above $80 at a single specific moment: noon Eastern Time on July 28, 2026. A Yes means SOL is trading above $80 at that exact minute. A No means it is at $80 or below at that moment, even if it was higher or lower at other points during the day. Think of it like a snapshot photo of the price, not an average or a range. The market settles based on one data point only: the closing price of the SOL/USDT one-minute candle at noon ET on July 28, 2026, taken directly from Binance. If that single closing price is strictly higher than $80, it resolves Yes. If it is exactly $80 or below, it resolves No. No other exchange counts, and no other time of day counts, even if Solana is above $80 for most of the day but dips at noon. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The kind of developments worth watching would be broader crypto market trends, any major Solana network news, regulatory changes affecting crypto in general, and macroeconomic conditions that tend to move risk assets like cryptocurrencies up or down. The market currently puts the odds of Solana being above $80 at noon on July 28, 2026 at only about 5%, meaning the market strongly implies this outcome is unlikely. The main uncertainty here is simply what crypto markets do over more than a year, which is genuinely hard to forecast. Crypto prices can move dramatically in either direction over that timeframe, so the small implied probability reflects where prices are today, not a certainty about the future.

The odds right now

  • 30100%
  • 40100%
  • 50100%
  • 60100%
  • 7099%
  • 802%
  • 901%
  • 1000%
  • 1100%
  • 1200%
  • 1300%

Price history

30

100%+50.0%

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Other outcomes in this market

More markets like this

More market guides

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

On a trade of
Paridesk0.5%
$0.25
MetaMask Predictions4%
$2.00
Jupiter Predictmatches the exchange fee
~$1.00 to $2.00

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.

View & trade →