What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in August 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Amazon's stock price will touch certain levels at any point during August 2026. There are three price targets listed: $224, $216, and $208. Each one is its own separate Yes or No question: did Amazon's stock reach that specific price, even briefly, during regular trading hours in August 2026? A Yes means the stock touched or crossed that level at least once. A No means it never did. Each target resolves Yes if Amazon's stock hits that price, even for a single one-minute window during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) on any day in August 2026. The price data comes from a service called Pyth, which tracks one-minute price intervals. Only the high or low price within each one-minute period counts, not just closing prices. If Amazon does a stock split, the target prices are adjusted to match. If Pyth has a technical outage, official exchange data is used as a backup. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching would include Amazon's quarterly earnings reports, major announcements about its cloud or retail business, broader stock market movements, and any news about a potential stock split, since that would directly change the target prices. Amazon's stock price over a full month is genuinely hard to predict. All three targets are currently priced at 50%, meaning the market sees each one as roughly a coin flip. The stock could move significantly in either direction based on earnings results, economic conditions, tech sector sentiment, or unexpected company news. Because the bar is just touching the price once, even briefly, short-term volatility works in favor of Yes, but a sustained move in the wrong direction could keep all three out of reach.

The odds right now

• ↓ $224+0.3 pts (1w)50%
• ↓ $21650%
• ↓ $208-0.1 pts (1w)50%
• ↓ $200-44.9 pts (1w)5%
• ↓ $192-45.0 pts (1w)5%
• ↓ $184-45.0 pts (1w)5%
• ↓ $176-37.0 pts (1w)4%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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