What price will Bitcoin hit on August 2?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch specific levels on August 2, 2026. There are actually three separate questions bundled here: will Bitcoin reach at least $64,000, will it dip to $63,000 or below, and will it reach at least $65,000 at any point during that single day. Each is a Yes or No question. A Yes means Bitcoin touched that price level even briefly, and a No means it never did. Each question settles based on one specific data source: Binance's BTC/USDT trading pair, looking at one-minute price candles. For the upside targets ($64,000 and $65,000), if the recorded high of any single one-minute candle on August 2 (midnight to 11:59 PM Eastern Time) reaches or exceeds that number, it resolves Yes. For the $63,000 question, if the low of any one-minute candle touches or drops below $63,000, it resolves Yes. Prices from any other exchange are ignored entirely. None of the provided news headlines relate to Bitcoin or cryptocurrency markets. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. For a market like this, the kinds of developments worth watching would be major macroeconomic announcements, regulatory news about crypto, or large moves in broader financial markets in the days leading up to August 2. Bitcoin is genuinely difficult to forecast even hours in advance, let alone on a specific future date. The $64,000 and $63,000 markets are both priced near 50-50, which signals real disagreement among participants, not a clear lean either way. The $65,000 target is priced at only 7%, meaning the market sees it as unlikely but not impossible. Crypto prices can swing sharply on news, sentiment shifts, or large trades, so even a "quiet" day can produce surprising moves in either direction.

The odds right now

• ↓ 63,00076%
• ↑ 64,00025%
• ↓ 62,0008%
• ↑ 65,0003%
• ↓ 61,0002%
• ↑ 66,0001%
• ↓ 60,0001%
• ↑ 67,0000%
• ↓ 59,0000%
• ↓ 58,0000%
• ↑ 68,0000%
• ↑ 69,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 3, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.