What price will Bitcoin hit on July 25?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch a specific number, either above or below, on July 25, 2026. There are three separate price targets here: $65,000 (a 'Yes' if Bitcoin climbs that high), $63,000, and $62,000 (each a 'Yes' if Bitcoin drops that low or lower). So some of these are asking about an upward move, and some are asking about a downward move, all within the same single day. Each price target resolves Yes if, at any single minute during July 25 on Binance's BTC/USDT chart, the price touches or crosses that level. For the $65,000 target, Bitcoin's minute-high must reach $65,000 or above. For the $63,000 and $62,000 targets, Bitcoin's minute-low must touch that number or go below it. Only Binance BTC/USDT data counts. One brief spike or dip is enough. If the price never reaches the target, it resolves No. None of the provided news headlines relate to Bitcoin or cryptocurrency markets on July 25, 2026. They cover oil prices, gold, and an unrelated motorsport event. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is any major crypto news, regulatory announcement, or broad financial market shock that could move Bitcoin sharply in either direction. Bitcoin is genuinely unpredictable within a single day. A roughly 4% market price on the $65,000 upside target tells you traders currently see it as unlikely, but crypto can move several percent in hours on unexpected news. The $63,000 and $62,000 downside targets also sit at 4% and 1%, suggesting the market does not expect a sharp drop either. The core uncertainty is simply that Bitcoin's daily range is hard to forecast, and a single surprising event could shift things quickly in either direction.

The odds right now

• ↑ 65,0005%
• ↓ 63,0003%
• ↓ 62,0002%
• ↑ 66,0001%
• ↓ 60,0001%
• ↑ 68,0000%
• ↑ 67,0000%
• ↓ 61,0000%
• ↓ 59,0000%
• ↑ 71,0000%
• ↑ 70,0000%
• ↑ 69,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 26, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.