What price will Ethereum hit on July 25?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Ethereum's price will touch a specific dollar level at any point during July 25, 2026. There are actually three separate price targets bundled here: $1,850 (currently the most traded, with 65% odds), $1,900, and $1,800. Each one is its own Yes or No question: did ETH reach that exact price level, even for just one minute, on that day? It only needs to touch the level once, briefly, to count. Each price target resolves Yes if, at any single minute during July 25, 2026 (midnight to 11:59 PM Eastern Time), the Ethereum price on Binance's ETH/USDT chart hits that level. For upside targets like $1,900, the minute's highest point must reach or exceed it. For downside targets like $1,800, the minute's lowest point must reach or fall below it. Only Binance ETH/USDT data counts. Any other exchange or trading pair is ignored, even if prices differ there. None of the provided news headlines relate to Ethereum or cryptocurrency markets. They cover oil prices, a motorsport event, and commodity markets. There is no relevant recent crypto news to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is anything affecting broader crypto sentiment: regulatory news, major exchange announcements, or sharp moves in Bitcoin, which often pulls Ethereum along with it. Crypto prices can swing hard within a single day, so whether ETH touches a specific level in one minute is genuinely difficult to forecast. The $1,850 target carries 65% odds, meaning the market sees it as more likely than not, but far from certain. The main unknowns are macro sentiment shifts, sudden liquidity events, and how ETH is trading as the date approaches. The gap between $1,800 and $1,900 as live targets also shows that traders disagree on which direction risk sits.

The odds right now

• ↓ 1,85037%
• ↑ 1,9009%
• ↓ 1,8002%
• ↑ 1,9501%
• ↓ 1,7501%
• ↓ 1,7001%
• ↑ 2,0500%
• ↑ 2,0000%
• ↓ 1,6500%
• ↑ 2,2000%
• ↑ 2,1500%
• ↓ 1,6000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 26, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.