What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in August 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Coinbase's stock price will touch specific price levels at any point during August 2026. There are three separate targets listed: $160, $140, and $165. For the upside targets ($160 and $165), the question is whether the stock climbs high enough to reach them. For the downside target ($140), the question is whether the stock drops low enough to touch it. Each target is its own independent Yes or No question. Each target resolves Yes if, during any single minute of regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) in August 2026, the stock price touches or crosses that level, based on data from a service called Pyth. The upside targets use the minute's highest price reached; the downside target uses the minute's lowest price. Just one touch is enough. Pre-market and after-hours prices do not count. If Coinbase does a stock split, the target prices adjust accordingly. The most relevant headline is that American Bitcoin, a crypto-related company backed by the Trump family, posted a loss in the second quarter of 2026. There is also a headline about crypto industry backing for midterm candidates, signaling continued political attention on the sector. Neither item directly concerns Coinbase's stock price, but broader crypto sentiment and political developments can influence how Coinbase trades. Coinbase's stock is closely tied to cryptocurrency prices, especially Bitcoin, which can move sharply and unpredictably. The market prices $160 at 78% and $140 at 68%, suggesting participants think both an upward and a downward touch are fairly plausible across a full month of trading. The wide range of outcomes reflects how volatile crypto-related stocks can be. A single piece of regulatory news, a crypto market swing, or a broader stock market move could push the price toward any of these levels quickly.

The odds right now

• ↑ $160+24.5 pts (1w)75%
• ↓ $140+18.5 pts (1w)69%
• ↑ $165+13.5 pts (1w)64%
• ↓ $135+8.0 pts (1w)59%
• ↑ $170+2.0 pts (1w)52%
• ↑ $175-6.5 pts (1w)44%
• ↓ $130-8.0 pts (1w)42%
• ↑ $180-15.0 pts (1w)35%
• ↓ $125-18.5 pts (1w)32%
• ↑ $185-22.0 pts (1w)28%
• ↑ $190-27.5 pts (1w)23%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.