What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in August 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Robinhood's stock price will reach certain levels at any point during August 2026. There are three separate price targets: $85, $95, and $100. For $95 and $100, the question is whether the stock climbs up to or past that number on any given minute during the month. For $85, the question runs the other way: whether the stock drops down to or below $85 at any point. Each target is its own independent yes-or-no question. Each target settles based on official minute-by-minute price data from a service called Pyth. For the upside targets ($95 and $100), if the recorded high price of any single minute during August 2026 regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern) hits or exceeds the target, it resolves Yes. For $85, it resolves Yes if any minute's low price touches or falls below $85. Only one qualifying minute is needed, at any point in the month. Pre-market and after-hours prices do not count. None of the provided news headlines relate to Robinhood or its stock price. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kinds of developments worth watching for would include Robinhood earnings reports, changes in retail trading activity, regulatory news affecting the brokerage industry, or broader moves in financial sector stocks. Stock prices can move a lot over a full month, which makes both the upside and downside targets plausible. The market currently prices $95 at 82%, meaning participants collectively see it as fairly likely but not certain. The $100 target at 63% and the $85 downside at 67% show real uncertainty in both directions. Broader market swings, unexpected company news, or changes in investor sentiment toward fintech stocks could all shift things quickly, and a full month is a long time for surprises to happen.

The odds right now

• ↑ $95+30.0 pts (1w)82%
• ↓ $85+17.3 pts (1w)67%
• ↑ $100+8.0 pts (1w)61%
• ↓ $80-6.0 pts (1w)44%
• ↑ $105-6.5 pts (1w)44%
• ↑ $110-19.0 pts (1w)31%
• ↓ $75-24.5 pts (1w)26%
• ↑ $115-29.5 pts (1w)21%
• ↓ $70-37.5 pts (1w)13%
• ↑ $120-40.5 pts (1w)10%
• ↑ $125-42.4 pts (1w)8%
• ↓ $60-42.5 pts (1w)8%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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