What price will Solana hit July 27-August 2?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Solana's price will touch $70 or below during the week of July 27 through August 2, 2026. A Yes means SOL drops to $70 or lower at least once during that window. A No means the price stays above $70 the entire week. Right now, the market prices this at an 18% chance, meaning most participants think SOL will stay above $70 during that period. It resolves Yes the moment any single one-minute price candle on Binance's SOL/USDT chart shows a low of $70.00 or below, at any point between 12:00 AM ET on July 27 and 11:59 PM ET on August 2. Only Binance SOL/USDT data counts, not other exchanges or trading pairs. If that $70 threshold is never touched during the window, it resolves No. One brief dip is enough to trigger a Yes, so timing matters a lot. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to Solana's price or the cryptocurrency market. There is no recent crypto-specific news to reference here. The kinds of developments worth watching would be broad crypto market moves, regulatory news affecting digital assets, or any major Solana ecosystem announcements that could push the price significantly in either direction. Crypto prices can move sharply and unpredictably in short windows, which is exactly what makes a one-week, single-touch threshold tricky. The market currently prices this at 18%, meaning it leans toward No, but a sudden market-wide selloff could change that quickly. The one-minute candle rule means even a very brief spike downward counts, so a flash crash or liquidity event could resolve this Yes even if SOL recovers immediately. That tail-risk is real, even when the base probability looks low.

The odds right now

• ↓ 7010%
• ↓ 600%
• ↑ 1500%
• ↑ 1400%
• ↑ 1300%
• ↑ 1200%
• ↑ 1100%
• ↑ 1000%
• ↑ 900%
• ↓ 500%
• ↓ 400%
• ↓ 300%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 3, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.