What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in August 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Tesla's stock price will reach certain levels at any moment during August 2026, specifically during normal trading hours. There are three price targets: $300, $330, and $345. Each one is a separate Yes or No question: did the stock touch that price, even briefly, during any single minute of trading in August? It is not about where the stock closes or averages. Just one fleeting moment at or above (or below) the target is enough. Each target resolves Yes if Tesla's price hits the level during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM New York time) on any day in August 2026. The $330 and $345 targets need the stock to reach that price or higher. The $300 target needs the stock to dip to $300 or lower. The data source is Pyth, a price feed service, using one-minute candles. Pre-market and after-hours prices do not count. If Tesla does a stock split, prices are adjusted proportionally before checking. The only news provided is about a political and legal case in Pakistan, which has no connection to Tesla or its stock price. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kinds of developments worth watching would be Tesla earnings reports, production or sales announcements, Elon Musk news, or broader shifts in the electric vehicle market. Tesla's stock is historically volatile, meaning large price swings in either direction are common, and a whole month gives plenty of time for the stock to touch a target briefly even without a sustained move. The market prices $330 at 80%, suggesting participants see that as fairly reachable, while $345 sits at 53%, closer to a coin toss. Between now and August 2026, many unpredictable things could shift the stock: earnings results, demand trends, regulatory news, or broader market moves. Any of these could matter significantly.

The odds right now

• ↑ $330+34.5 pts (1w)83%
• ↑ $345+4.0 pts (1w)54%
• ↓ $300-6.5 pts (1w)53%
• ↓ $285-22.5 pts (1w)34%
• ↑ $360-20.0 pts (1w)30%
• ↑ $375-33.5 pts (1w)16%
• ↓ $270-37.0 pts (1w)13%
• ↑ $390-39.0 pts (1w)11%
• ↓ $240-44.0 pts (1w)6%
• ↓ $255-44.0 pts (1w)6%
• ↑ $405-26.7 pts (1w)4%
• ↓ $225-46.5 pts (1w)4%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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