What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in August 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether the price of silver will reach certain specific levels at any moment during August 2026. There are three separate price targets, each its own sub-market: will silver drop below $54, drop below $56, or rise above $60? Each one resolves independently. A 'Yes' for any of them just means silver touched that price, even for a single minute, at any point in August 2026. Each sub-market resolves Yes if, during any one-minute trading window in August 2026, silver's recorded high or low price crosses the listed threshold: below $54 or $56 for the downside targets, above $60 for the upside target. The price data comes from Pyth, a real-time financial data feed, using one-minute candles. If Pyth data is unavailable, CME COMEX Silver Futures data is used as a backup. Even a single brief touch of the target price counts. If silver never trades in August 2026, everything resolves No. No relevant news about silver prices was provided. The two headlines given are about celebrity fashion and fantasy books, which have no connection to this market. To follow what matters here, you would want to watch developments in industrial demand for silver, moves in the US dollar, Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, and broader commodity market trends, as those are the forces that tend to move silver prices. Silver is a volatile commodity, and August 2026 is over a year away, which makes precise price prediction genuinely difficult. The market currently prices the $56 downside target at 82% and the $60 upside at 77%, suggesting participants think both a dip and a rally are plausible within the same month. Silver can swing sharply on inflation data, currency moves, and industrial demand shifts. The main remaining uncertainty for the higher-odds targets is simply whether an unexpected stabilizing event keeps silver in a narrow range the whole month.

The odds right now

• ↓ $58+48.9 pts (1w)99%
• ↓ $56+32.0 pts (1w)82%
• ↑ $60+26.5 pts (1w)77%
• ↑ $62+19.0 pts (1w)69%
• ↓ $54+9.0 pts (1w)59%
• ↓ $52-10.5 pts (1w)40%
• ↑ $64-14.0 pts (1w)36%
• ↑ $66-25.5 pts (1w)25%
• ↓ $50-26.5 pts (1w)24%
• ↓ $48-4.5 pts (1w)16%
• ↑ $68-16.0 pts (1w)14%
• ↑ $70-17.5 pts (1w)8%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

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