What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the typical home in the Washington DC area be worth at the end of September 2026, and which price range will it fall into? A Yes on a given bracket means the median home value lands inside that range. In plain terms, the DC Metro area currently has a median home value somewhere around $520K to $540K based on how the brackets are priced, and participants are guessing where that number sits by late September 2026. On September 30, 2026, a data company called Parcl Labs will publish a price-per-square-foot figure for the DC Metro area. That number gets multiplied by 1,800 square feet to produce a single dollar amount, and whichever price bracket that amount falls into wins. If the number lands exactly on the border between two brackets, the higher bracket wins. If Parcl Labs does not publish by October 10, 2026, the most recently available data is used instead. None of the recent news provided relates to this market. The headlines are about unrelated international topics. To follow this market meaningfully, you would want to watch for DC-area housing data, Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, or local economic news that could affect home prices in the region. Several real forces pull in different directions here. Mortgage rates, which are heavily influenced by Federal Reserve policy, can shift home values significantly over months. The DC area is also sensitive to federal government employment trends, since many residents work in or around government. Beyond that, the resolution method itself adds a layer: it uses a price-per-square-foot index multiplied by a fixed 1,800 square feet, which is a model, not a direct sale price, so small index movements can shift the outcome between brackets.

The odds right now

• $536K - $542K+16.0 pts (1w)33%
• $542K+-26.5 pts (1w)23%
• $518K - $524K+6.6 pts (1w)21%
• $530K - $536K-3.3 pts (1w)13%
• $524K - $530K-0.5 pts (1w)13%
• $512K - $518K+1.3 pts (1w)3%
• <$512K-0.5 pts (1w)1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 30, 2026

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.