Will GRVT launch a token by ___?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether GRVT, a crypto exchange platform, will release its own governance token to the public before the end of 2026. A governance token is a digital coin that typically gives holders some say in how a project is run. A Yes means the token is actually out in the world, available for anyone to buy and sell. A No means GRVT either did not launch one at all, or only made announcements without a real, working token. To settle as Yes, GRVT must have a token that is publicly available and actively tradable by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026. The key rule here: announcements, roadmaps, or previews do not count. The token must actually be live and transferable by real users. The market checks GRVT's official channels and credible news coverage to confirm this. If the token launches but is restricted or not yet tradable, that would likely not qualify. No specific recent news about GRVT was provided for this market. The kind of update that would matter most is an official announcement from GRVT about a token launch date, a public sale, or a live listing on an exchange. Watching GRVT's official social media account would be the most direct way to stay informed. The market prices this at 99%, meaning participants collectively see a token launch as almost certain before end of 2026. At that level, the realistic uncertainty is not really about two equal sides. It is mostly about the small chance something unexpected blocks it, such as a regulatory problem, a project delay, or a pivot in strategy. The resolution rule also adds a thin edge of risk: an announcement that comes without a truly tradable token would still resolve No.

The odds right now

• September 30, 2026+0.4 pts (1w)99%
• December 31, 2026-1.5 pts (1w)99%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves January 1, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if GRVT officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.