Will OnRe launch a token by ___?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether OnRe, a crypto finance project, will release its own official token that people can actually buy and sell on the open market before a specific date. A Yes means OnRe's token is live and tradable by the deadline. A No means they either never launched one, only announced plans, or only released a product that doesn't count as a proper token, like a stablecoin or a synthetic asset. To settle as Yes, OnRe must publish and make tradable a genuine project token before 11:59 PM ET on the chosen date. The rules are strict about what counts: stablecoins, yield products like ONyc-type assets, memecoins, and synthetic tokens are all explicitly excluded. A press release or roadmap announcement is not enough. Actual public trading must be live. The market uses OnRe's own official channels plus credible news coverage to confirm. No recent news directly about OnRe or its token plans was provided. The one headline in the feed is about a separate Solana trading product called Lavarage and does not appear connected to OnRe. To watch for relevance, keep an eye on official announcements from OnRe's account about a governance or utility token going live on an exchange. The market prices the by-end-of-2027 deadline at around 72%, meaning participants see a meaningful but not overwhelming chance this happens. The real difficulty is that token launch timelines in crypto are notoriously unpredictable: teams delay, market conditions shift, and regulatory environments change. The strict definition of what counts also adds uncertainty. A product OnRe releases might not qualify under the rules, even if it feels like a token launch to casual observers.

The odds right now

• March 31, 2027+19.5 pts (1w)80%
• December 31, 2027+3.5 pts (1w)74%
• September 30, 2027+5.5 pts (1w)72%
• June 30, 2027+3.5 pts (1w)66%
• December 31, 2026+14.0 pts (1w)30%
• September 30, 2026+1.5 pts (1w)13%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves January 1, 2028

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OnRe officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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