Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?: how this market works
What you need to know
This market asks whether a project called Ventuals will release its own cryptocurrency governance token before a specific deadline. A governance token is a digital coin that typically gives holders a say in how a platform is run. 'Yes' means Ventuals actually launches a real, tradable token by the deadline. 'No' means they either do not launch one at all, or only announce plans without following through. To settle as Yes, Ventuals must have a live governance token that anyone can transfer and trade publicly, before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the deadline date. An announcement or a roadmap post does not count. The token has to actually be out and moving in the market. The main source checked will be Ventuals' own communications, plus credible outside reporting if needed. If the token exists but is locked or restricted, that would likely not qualify. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for would be any official posts from Ventuals on their social channels about a token launch, a date, or a public sale, as well as coverage from well-known crypto news outlets reporting on the project's progress. The market prices this very low, at 1% for September 2026 and 4% for December 2026, which means participants currently see a token launch as quite unlikely within these timeframes. The main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected happens, such as a sudden launch announcement. Beyond that, Ventuals appears to be a small or early-stage project, so there is limited public information to judge their progress, their timeline, or even their intentions around a token.
The odds right now
- December 31 2026-0.4 pts (1w)4%
- September 30 2026-0.5 pts (1w)2%
Price history
December 31 2026
How this resolves
Resolves January 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.
Related
Other outcomes in this market
- December 31 20264%
- September 30 20262%
More market guides
Same markets. A fraction of the fee.
These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.
Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.
Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.
View & trade →