XRP above ___ on July 26?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether XRP (a major cryptocurrency) will be priced above a specific dollar amount at one exact moment in time: noon Eastern Time on July 26, 2026. There are two price thresholds here: $1.10 (which the market puts at 48% odds) and $1.20 (at just 1% odds). A Yes means XRP is trading above that price at noon on that day. A No means it is at or below that price at that exact moment. Settlement comes down to one single data point: the closing price of the one-minute trading candle on Binance's XRP/USDT market that ends at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 26, 2026. If that price is strictly higher than the threshold (e.g., above $1.10), the market resolves Yes. At or below it means No. Only Binance's own data counts here, not prices from Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. One minute, one price, one source. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for XRP include major court rulings involving Ripple (the company behind XRP), broad crypto market movements, regulatory changes in the US or internationally, and any large partnership or adoption announcements that could shift sentiment significantly between now and July 2026. A lot can change in over a year of crypto markets. The $1.10 threshold sits almost at a coin flip right now, which honestly reflects how uncertain XRP's price path is. Crypto is famously volatile: XRP has swung dramatically in both directions over past years. Regulatory news about Ripple, shifts in the broader crypto market, macroeconomic changes, and simple market sentiment could all push the price well above or below either threshold before that July noon snapshot.

The odds right now

• 0.60100%
• 0.70100%
• 0.80100%
• 0.90100%
• 1.00100%
• 1.1059%
• 1.200%
• 1.300%
• 1.400%
• 1.500%
• 1.600%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 26, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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