XRP price on August 4?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking where the price of XRP, a cryptocurrency, will land on August 4, 2026. Specifically, it is asking which price range XRP will fall into: between $0.90 and $1.00, between $1.00 and $1.10, or between $1.10 and $1.20. Right now, the market puts the strongest odds on XRP sitting in the $1.00 to $1.10 range at that moment, with a smaller chance it climbs into the $1.10 to $1.20 range. The market settles based on one very specific data point: the closing price of XRP against the US dollar on the Binance exchange, at exactly noon Eastern Time on August 4, 2026, using the one-minute candle chart. Only Binance counts here, not Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. Whichever price bracket that single reading falls into wins. If the price lands exactly on a boundary, it counts toward the higher bracket. If Binance data is unavailable for some reason, the market resolves No. None of the provided news headlines appear to be directly relevant to XRP's price on August 4, 2026. The headlines cover unrelated topics like office real estate, AI tools, and materials science. To follow this market meaningfully, you would want to watch for news about XRP specifically, broader cryptocurrency market moves, regulatory developments involving Ripple, or major shifts in overall market sentiment. Cryptocurrency prices can move significantly within hours, let alone over a year, so any price range prediction this far out carries real uncertainty. The market currently leans toward the $1.00 to $1.10 bracket at 77%, which means participants collectively see that range as the most likely landing spot, but a 23% combined chance sits outside it. Crypto is sensitive to regulation, broader market conditions, and sudden sentiment shifts, all of which are genuinely hard to forecast. The long time horizon amplifies that unpredictability considerably.

The odds right now

• 1.00-1.1070%
• 1.10-1.2028%
• 0.90-1.004%
• 1.20-1.303%
• 0.80-0.902%
• 1.30-1.401%
• 1.40-1.501%
• 0.60-0.701%
• 0.70-0.801%
• >1.501%
• <0.600%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 4, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.