
Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?
Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?
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Understand this market
This market asks whether CBOE Global Markets will earn more per share than analysts expect when it reports its next quarterly results. EPS, or earnings per share, is simply the company's profit divided by the number of shares, and the "non-GAAP" version strips out certain accounting items to show a cleaner operating picture. A Yes means CBOE prints above $3.49 per share. A No means it matches or falls short of that number.
The market settles Yes if CBOE's official non-GAAP EPS for the quarter, as stated in its earnings release around July 31, 2026, is strictly above $3.49. Even $3.49 exactly is a No. The first figure CBOE publicly announces is what counts, not any later corrections. If CBOE delays its report by more than 45 days past the expected date, or never publishes an EPS figure at all, the market resolves No by default.
No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of news that would matter here includes any CBOE trading-volume updates, analyst estimate revisions, or signals about market volatility levels, since CBOE's revenue is closely tied to how much options and futures trading activity happens in the broader market.
The market is priced at exactly 50-50, which reflects genuine uncertainty. Analysts set the $3.49 bar, but CBOE's actual earnings depend heavily on trading volumes in options markets, which can shift quickly with broader market conditions. A quiet quarter with low volatility would hurt revenue, while turbulent markets tend to boost it. Between now and July 2026, a lot can change in financial markets, making this a genuinely open question with real forces pulling in both directions.
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Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?
Resolution Criteria
As of market creation, CBOE is estimated to release earnings on July 31, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for CBOE’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.49 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if CBOE reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $3.49 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If CBOE releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
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Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?
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