Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether CBOE Global Markets will earn more per share than analysts expect when it reports its next quarterly results. EPS, or earnings per share, is simply the company's profit divided by the number of shares, and the "non-GAAP" version strips out certain accounting items to show a cleaner operating picture. A Yes means CBOE prints above $3.49 per share. A No means it matches or falls short of that number. The market settles Yes if CBOE's official non-GAAP EPS for the quarter, as stated in its earnings release around July 31, 2026, is strictly above $3.49. Even $3.49 exactly is a No. The first figure CBOE publicly announces is what counts, not any later corrections. If CBOE delays its report by more than 45 days past the expected date, or never publishes an EPS figure at all, the market resolves No by default. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of news that would matter here includes any CBOE trading-volume updates, analyst estimate revisions, or signals about market volatility levels, since CBOE's revenue is closely tied to how much options and futures trading activity happens in the broader market. The market is priced at exactly 50-50, which reflects genuine uncertainty. Analysts set the $3.49 bar, but CBOE's actual earnings depend heavily on trading volumes in options markets, which can shift quickly with broader market conditions. A quiet quarter with low volatility would hurt revenue, while turbulent markets tend to boost it. Between now and July 2026, a lot can change in financial markets, making this a genuinely open question with real forces pulling in both directions.

The odds right now

• Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?+12.5 pts (1w)63%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

As of market creation, CBOE is estimated to release earnings on July 31, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for CBOE’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.49 as of market creation. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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