← Markets
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?

Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?

Resolves Oct 31, 2026·$1.5k 24h vol·tech
$1.5k total volume·Open for 12 days

October 31, 2026

58%+8.0%
OutcomeYesNo
October 31, 2026
September 30, 2026
August 31, 2026

Order Book

October 31, 2026

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢74$73
98.0¢31$30
94.0¢300$282
93.0¢50$47
94.0¢last trade
70.0¢ spread
23.0¢10$2
6.0¢10$1
5.0¢300$15
4.0¢500$20
3.0¢1.1k$32
2.0¢2.5k$50
1.0¢4.3k$43
$164 bids$432 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

October 31, 2026

58%