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Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Resolves Oct 1, 2026·$1.8k 24h vol·tech
$1.8k total volume

Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

21%-28.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Order Book

Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

PriceSharesTotal
30.0¢20$6
29.0¢134$39
27.0¢31$8
25.0¢60$15
24.0¢140$34
23.0¢110$25
22.0¢60$13
21.0¢569$119
22.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
20.0¢373$75
19.0¢505$96
18.0¢20$4
16.0¢20$3
14.0¢55$8
13.0¢25$3
12.0¢20$2
9.0¢32$3
$193 bids$260 asks

Resolution Criteria

In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

21%