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Fed Decision in March?

Fed Decision in March?

Resolves Mar 18, 2027·$1.2k 24h vol·economy
$1.2k total volume

25 bps increase

54%+15.5%
OutcomeYesNo
25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
50+ bps decrease
25 bps decrease

Order Book

25 bps increase

PriceSharesTotal
70.0¢150$105
61.0¢110$67
60.0¢95$57
59.0¢30$18
58.0¢21$12
56.0¢190$106
55.0¢323$178
54.0¢419$226
55.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
53.0¢315$167
52.0¢42$22
51.0¢185$94
50.0¢20$10
30.0¢300$90
29.0¢300$87
28.0¢300$84
26.0¢12$3
$557 bids$769 asks

Resolution Criteria

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's March 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 16-17, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

25 bps increase

54%