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Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Resolves Jan 27, 2027·$978 24h vol·economy
$978 total volume

Pause-Hike-Pause

24%-1.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Pause-Hike-Pause
Pause-Pause-Hike
Pause-Pause-Pause
Pause-Hike-Hike
Hike-Hike-Pause
Hike-Pause-Pause
Other
Hike-Hike-Hike
Hike-Pause-Hike

Order Book

Pause-Hike-Pause

PriceSharesTotal
48.0¢30$14
47.0¢45$21
46.0¢65$30
34.0¢5$2
28.0¢20$6
26.0¢40$10
25.0¢267$67
24.0¢756$181
23.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
23.0¢273$63
22.0¢208$46
21.0¢55$12
20.0¢140$28
7.0¢20$1
6.0¢100$6
4.0¢300$12
3.0¢1.8k$53
$220 bids$331 asks

Resolution Criteria

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 27 to 28; December 8 to 9; and January 26 to 27. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Pause-Hike-Pause

24%