Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on July 24?
$315
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Understand this market
This market is asking whether Google's parent company, Alphabet, will have a stock price above a specific dollar amount when the market closes on July 24, 2026. There are three separate versions: one asks if the price beats $315, another if it beats $320, and another if it beats $325. A Yes means the stock closed higher than that number. A No means it closed at or below it.
The market settles based on Alphabet's official closing price on July 24, 2026, pulled from a data service called Pyth. If the closing price is strictly above the listed number, it resolves Yes. If it equals the number exactly, it resolves No. One notable edge case: if July 24 happens to be a non-trading day, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No. Any stock splits would adjust the target price proportionally.
One headline from July 24 stands out: Verizon signed a deal with Google worth over one billion dollars. A partnership of that size can signal strong business momentum for Google, and it lands on the exact resolution date. The other headlines from that date do not appear to be connected to Alphabet or its stock price in any meaningful way.
The spread in current odds tells the story well. The market puts $315 at 88%, $320 at 48%, and $325 at 42%, meaning the $315 bar looks quite reachable while the higher targets are much less certain. The main uncertainty is how much a single day's close can swing, and over a year, a lot can change: earnings reports, regulatory actions, AI competition, and broader market conditions all affect where Google trades on any given day.
Order Book
$315
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on July 24, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD.
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$315
95%