Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Google's parent company, Alphabet, will have a stock price above a specific dollar amount when the market closes on July 24, 2026. There are three separate versions: one asks if the price beats $315, another if it beats $320, and another if it beats $325. A Yes means the stock closed higher than that number. A No means it closed at or below it. The market settles based on Alphabet's official closing price on July 24, 2026, pulled from a data service called Pyth. If the closing price is strictly above the listed number, it resolves Yes. If it equals the number exactly, it resolves No. One notable edge case: if July 24 happens to be a non-trading day, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No. Any stock splits would adjust the target price proportionally. One headline from July 24 stands out: Verizon signed a deal with Google worth over one billion dollars. A partnership of that size can signal strong business momentum for Google, and it lands on the exact resolution date. The other headlines from that date do not appear to be connected to Alphabet or its stock price in any meaningful way. The spread in current odds tells the story well. The market puts $315 at 88%, $320 at 48%, and $325 at 42%, meaning the $315 bar looks quite reachable while the higher targets are much less certain. The main uncertainty is how much a single day's close can swing, and over a year, a lot can change: earnings reports, regulatory actions, AI competition, and broader market conditions all affect where Google trades on any given day.

The odds right now

• $31592%
• $32064%
• $33532%
• $3259%
• $3305%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on July 24, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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