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Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$986 24h vol·geopolitics
12 comments·$292.0k total volume·Open for 130 days

December 31

8%-1.5%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31

Order Book

December 31

PriceSharesTotal
20.0¢100$20
17.0¢100$17
16.0¢10$2
15.0¢500$75
14.0¢14$2
12.0¢500$60
11.0¢334$37
10.0¢286$29
9.0¢240$22
8.0¢110$9
7.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
7.0¢34$2
6.0¢304$18
5.0¢115$6
4.0¢509$20
3.0¢18$1
2.0¢819$16
1.0¢2.5k$25
$89 bids$271 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

December 31

8%