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How low will Lake Powell drop?

How low will Lake Powell drop?

Resolves Apr 15, 2027·$234 24h vol·weather
$234 total volume

Below 3,490 ft

41%+15.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Below 3,490 ft
Above 3,510 ft
3,500–3,510 ft
3,490–3,500 ft

Order Book

Below 3,490 ft

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢1.3k$1.3k
98.0¢562$551
97.0¢350$340
96.0¢6$6
93.0¢95$88
92.0¢12$11
91.0¢30$27
30.0¢last trade
70.0¢ spread
21.0¢25$5
3.0¢12$0
2.0¢20$0
1.0¢1.1k$11
$17 bids$2.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms. Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window. The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Powell at Glen Canyon Dam, available at https://data.usbr.gov/catalog/2362/item/508. USBR data is provisional and subject to revision; the lowest daily elevation reflected in USBR data as of April 15, 2027 governs, and revisions published after April 15, 2027 will not change the outcome. Daily elevation data published at https://lakepowell.water-data.com/ may also be referenced, but if it disagrees with USBR, the USBR value governs.

Below 3,490 ft

55%